I have simply been trying to determine two basic points. Do you believe that the gases have a warming effect, and do you believe the earth is actually warming. I have heard plenty of people dispute either or both of these things and I was just interested in where you stand.
The next questions would be, are the gases causing the warming and if so is it anything to worry about.
I think the period selected coincides with the start of the industrial revolution.
Fair enough.
I don't think anybody really understands which factors are more or less significant in terms of the warming. We know that there is a star called the Sun a very fortunate and convenient distance from the planet we inhabit and most of the warming starts there in the first instance. There is also primordial heat inside the earth itself - geophysical heating if you will (think geysers, molten lava, etc.)
So called green house gases help to trap some of the heat, with water vapour being the most significant. CO2 and methane two of the others. Good thing too or life on earth might not be possible. The clouds play a role too, both in heat retention and reflecting sunlight away.
There appear to be phenomena beyond the earth, in addition to the Sun, that also have a bearing.
Where is the contribution of man and the associated CO2 in the grand scheme of things? It isn't possible to know based on our technology and understanding. We can only speculate. Obviously, I'm something of a heretic for saying this but I seriously don't see how we've got to a point where what I've written so far could be considered controversial. And to be clear, I have no more reason to want the world to end than you or anybody else. I rather like my humble little life and I don't benefit financially from any cause that might be considered biased in this discussion.
Is it something to be concerned about? To be honest, Jonathan, I don't think there is much we can do about the climate cycles that have always occurred. Also, we exist on a molten ball of rock spinning at high speed whilst circling a star, and it's a hostile universe full of comets, asteroids and god knows what. For most of history, including before we emerged in our current form, life would've been pretty dangerous, brutish and horrible. Think of all the predators we were outnumbered by, the constant harassment from cold, disease, tooth ache, broken bones - long before there was central heating and modern medicine. Massive volcanic eruptions have previously wiped out large numbers of living creatures and this is in the geological record. In fact, it is speculated that the Black Death was an indirect result of volcanic eruptions causing cooling and promoting certain bacteria. Bottom line: it's all pretty terrifying!
But all of this leads me to a positive outlook. The fact we exist at all, and it has all been possible, seems like some kind of unbelievable miracle, and the lives we enjoy in modern society, if we don't sit around worrying too much, are truly miraculous. Best we can do is enjoy it, accept that it can end at any time for a whole host of reasons outside our control, trust in the genius of man when he is left to innovate and find solutions, and enjoy it all whilst it lasts. Life is truly a gift, and we are extremely lucky to exist, especially at this time.
My hunch is that we are not, as a species, going to be harmed by climate change any time soon - we will probably be destroyed by other things many centuries and millennia before climate change is a concern.