Climate: The Movie

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Are you saying it would be viable as a $2 trillion or $1…trillion industry

Depends whether it is profitable or not; turnover doesn't come into it.

There will continue to be demand for oil for plastics and chemicals and that demand will be supplied.

That's where you are going wrong; there are alternatives already - bio-derived, as one example - but you're wedded to oil-derived as being essential.

If scales of economy mean prices are higher, they will be higher….market forces will dictate.

Not if the current differential between bio- and petro- pricing is overtaken by the necessity to ramp up petro-derived pricing, to make it viable.



It is fine to challenge the point, but IMO FWIW and in this case, yours was more a case of challenging the man (Filly).
 
Depends whether it is profitable or not; turnover doesn't come into it.
what do you think "viable" means?

That's where you are going wrong; there are alternatives already - bio-derived, as one example - but you're wedded to oil-derived as being essential.
1) Im not "wedded to oil-derived as being essential"
2) "alternatives are already available" -no they arent, not in the volume required

my post made this clear: I said "its highly unlikely alternatives will take over for 50+ years"

I may well be wrong with the timeline, but its a fact the world is reliant on petrochemicals (Almost 90 per cent of chemical products contain oil as a raw material, most of all plastics) and replacing it will take many years

Not if the current differential between bio- and petro- pricing is overtaken by the necessity to ramp up petro-derived pricing, to make it viable.
"if"

BTW: we cant possibly produce enough bio fuels to replace fossil fuel volumes

And whilst biofuels can replace petrochemicals, the technology is not there for many of those chemicals







It is fine to challenge the point, but IMO FWIW and in this case, yours was more a case of challenging the man (Filly)
No, I said it made no sense for this reason:

Filly made the point that reducing output would not be commercially possible
Filly did not provide any evidence to support his claim, so we have to rely on general rule of thumb as supporting evidence

Filly and you are therefore using this argument: "No industry can ever lower production levels because it makes them unable to continue" -you are welcome to support this argument if you have the evidence.




94% of oil comes from 1500 oil fields, with a total of 65,000 oil fields no idea how many actual well heads

apparently there are 29 million abandoned wells


You are welcome to provide evidence that lowering those numbers would not be viable
 
Lower volumes will make the supporting infrastructure more expensive proportionally. That will result in the more expensive suppliers becoming non-viable. The cheapest fields and supplies will remain and as volumes continue to drop the competition will kill off more.

It's capitalism, this is what it does.
 
BTW: we cant possibly produce enough bio fuels to replace fossil fuel volumes


I never mentioned fuels.
We were discussing chemicals.
While you're accusing others of having opinions and providing no evidence for them, you're doing the same - projecting that alternatives to petro-derived chemicals are not viable for "50+ years".
 
Yea, gut feelings are hard work...

Some of your points of view, I support and keenly agree with. On this I do not, because you are QUITE WRONG. I am entitled to my decisions, just as you are too. Insults will not change my mind, only logical and compulsive argument - I have seen none, so far.
 
I never mentioned fuels.
We were discussing chemicals.
While you're accusing others of having opinions and providing no evidence for them, you're doing the same - projecting that alternatives to petro-derived chemicals are not viable for "50+ years".
apologies I meant bio derived

I wasnt projecting, my post very clearly said "I think" -it was a post for discussion, never said it was fact

the evidence does show we have no chance of replacing petro chemicals for many years

I wasnt accusing Filly of providing no evidence, I said in the absence of evidence we have to take rule of thumb as a guide -please respond to what I said, not what you think you heard

"Filly made the point that reducing output would not be commercially possible
Filly did not provide any evidence to support his claim, so we have to rely on general rule of thumb as supporting evidence

Filly and you are therefore using this argument: "No industry can ever lower production levels because it makes them unable to continue" -you are welcome to support this argument if you have the evidence."
 
. Insults will not change my mind, only logical and compulsive argument - I have seen none, so far
you wont look so you wont find -not a logical or compulsive argument

Harry says: "my mind is made up" -gut feeling in other words
 
Some of your points of view, I support and keenly agree with. On this I do not, because you are QUITE WRONG. I am entitled to my decisions, just as you are too. Insults will not change my mind, only logical and compulsive argument - I have seen none, so far.
Earth is warming rapidly.


There are no natural causes that could be responsible, every suggestion has been found lacking. CO2 is way up on historical norms because of human activity. It is a known greenhouse gas, trapping heat in the atmosphere.

The climate is changing and it's caused by CO2.

It's pretty simple at heart, the denialists want to make it more complicated to avoid facing the reality but if you boil it down to basics it makes sense.
 
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